How to use this page
Read the extract first, then the application and limits sections, and only then decide whether the thesis is strong enough for action or only for context.
Extractable overview
Goal: translate dashboard chrome into decision language — what is crowd price, what is our estimate, what is partner context, and what is not a guarantee.
How to use this page: skim the annotated mock below, then jump to the section that matches the label you are staring at on a live card.
Pair with: How to read a pick for interpretation flow, and How analytics works for pipeline depth.
Price row: Market (YES/NO) and EdgeVisor
The wide row under the question is a price hero: Polymarket YES/NO in cents, then model estimates to the right.
- Market and model can disagree: that is the product surface — it exposes where EdgeVisor sees a possible gap.
- External context is conditional: some markets have no useful comparison reference, so the UI stays focused on Polymarket and EdgeVisor.
Gap row: edge label and confidence
Under the price hero, the gap row compresses the thesis into badges:
| UI element | Read it as |
|---|---|
| Gap badge (underpriced / overpriced / …) | Directional disagreement between crowd price and EdgeVisor estimate — check tooltip text for the exact numeric gap. |
| Confidence % | Model-reported confidence for this explanation path, not your personal risk tolerance. |
| Readiness / warning text | Execution framing from gates and notes — read before sizing. |
Research grid, context card, CTAs
Bull / Bear / Kills — structured arguments and failure modes. EdgeVisor context — short operator bullets. Citations appear only when the live pipeline has mapped, fresh sources.
Primary CTA opens the Polymarket market when available — it is navigation plumbing, not a rating of thesis strength.
- Track record tab: aggregate outcomes over time — use it to calibrate trust, not to time a single tick.
- Paper-style notes: when present, they describe simulated or gated execution, not your filled brokerage orders.
What the UI does not prove
The dashboard is optimized for fast scanning. It cannot replace reading limits, category caveats, liquidity, or time-to-resolution for the specific market.
- No hidden oracle: estimates are model outputs with explicit failure modes.
- No custody: links leave EdgeVisor; execution risk is yours.
- No sure profit: edge is disagreement, not a winnings voucher.
Frequently asked questions
No. External consensus references are optional context when available. They can agree or disagree with both the Polymarket price and the EdgeVisor estimate.
No. The UI is a structured thesis surface. You still need to read caveats, liquidity, time to resolution, and your own risk limits before acting.