Prediction Market Research

Markets get
prices wrong. We notice.

EdgeVisor helps you decide faster, understand why the market looks wrong, verify the trust boundary, and only act when the setup is actually usable.

Live example right now ↓
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markets analyzed
picks today
scans every 30s
Brier score
accuracy (180d)
How it works

From market to trade signal in 3 steps

No black box. Here's a real example using an Iran sanctions market.

We spot the anomaly

Every 30 seconds we scan 100 top Polymarket markets. We found: "Will US forces enter Iran by April 30?" priced at 8¢ YES. That means the crowd thinks only 8% chance.

Market priceYES 8¢
Volume 24h$3.5M
StatusActive market

5 analysts weigh in

Five independent models analyze the same market from different angles. Each gives a probability. We take the weighted average.

Base rate (history)22%
Liquidity signalthin → lean up
Preddy consensus19%
Our consensus~24%

You see why, you decide

When the gap looks meaningful and the supporting context is coherent, we surface the market with the bull and bear case. The final call is always yours.

Market says8%
We say24%
Edge+16% → PICK ✓
$100 at 8¢ YES →+$1,150 if correct
Attribute Layer — Analysts

Multiple analytical lenses

The system reads the same market from several angles so one fragile signal does not dominate the whole thesis.

category context
Reads whether the market price looks plausible for the category before treating a disagreement as meaningful.
baseline plausibility
liquidity context
Checks whether the market looks deep enough to trust, or thin enough that price can be more fragile than it appears.
market quality
price behavior
Looks at how the move developed and whether the current price appears stable, stretched, or abruptly repriced.
timing and pace
behavioral checks
Flags situations where crowd behavior may be emotionally skewed or structurally crowded rather than cleanly informative.
crowding risk
external comparison
Compares the live market with outside reference points to see whether the disagreement deserves closer inspection.
cross-check
Application Layer — Live Examples

Current picks

Markets where the structured estimate differs meaningfully from the current price. Updated continuously.

Live data
Relational Layer

How EdgeVisor relates to the ecosystem

EdgeVisor is a research layer between market data and your trading decision.

dataSource
Polymarket — primary data source. EdgeVisor reads live market pricing and context, but does not trade for the user.
consensus
Preddy.trade — an external reference point for comparison across market venues.
leadsTo
Trading decision — EdgeVisor shows where the price looks wrong and why. The user decides whether to trade on Preddy or directly on Polymarket.
contrastsWith
Manual research — EdgeVisor compresses repetitive market scanning into a faster structured review, while the final judgment still belongs to the user.
measuredBy
Accuracy metrics — EdgeVisor tracks probability quality, calibration, and category-level performance over time.
Decision rules When EdgeVisor flags a pick
Price disagreementMust be meaningful, not cosmetic
Market qualityEnough liquidity and context to read the price responsibly
Evidence supportThe thesis should have coherent support, not only a naked number gap
Caveat checkCategory limits and timing risks must be visible before action
User outcomeSurface as more actionable, more informational, or not worth pressing
Learning loop How accuracy improves
FrequencyUpdated as outcomes resolve
AdaptationInternal weighting shifts as signals prove more or less useful
SafeguardsDrift checks reduce reliance on unstable behavior
Review scopeSignals are evaluated as a mix, not as one permanent truth
Score trackedProbability quality, win rate, and calibration
Trust Layer

Use EdgeVisor like a specialist, not like a blind signal feed

The docs cluster is the public knowledge layer behind EdgeVisor. It explains how the pipeline works, how to read a pick, where evidence comes from, and when a setup is useful for action versus useful only for context.

For publishers

For partners

Embed our analysis cards into your articles. Readers see relevant markets — you earn referral traffic.

Partner program & embed docs →
Pricing

Start free. Upgrade when you see the value.

Free tier gives you enough to find a profitable trade. No credit card required.

Pro is currently in waitlist mode. Free dashboard is fully usable now.

Free — always
$0/mo
Enough to find your first trade
  • Top 3 picks today with full explanation
  • Live market prices updated every 30s
  • Bull case / Bear case / Kill switch
  • Direct link to Preddy to trade
  • 1 week track record
Open dashboard free →
Most popular
Pro
$29/mo
For serious traders who want every edge
  • All 25 picks + full analyst breakdown
  • Morning email: today's top picks before markets open
  • Full track record + win rate by category
  • Brier score calibration history
  • API access for your own tools
Upgrade with Stripe →
Partner
Custom
For publishers & content sites
  • Embed live cards on any article
  • Geo + keyword personalization
  • Referral traffic analytics
  • White-label branding option
Partner program →
Trust Layer — Live Proof

We measure accuracy. Here's the proof.

Not promises — verified outcomes tracked over time with Brier scoring.

Brier Score (lower = better)
Accuracy (180d)
Predictions resolved
Market categories
Full track record →

Stay in the loop

Get notified about product updates, new features, and early access to Pro. No spam — unsubscribe anytime.

Interpretive Layer — FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Clear answers. No marketing fluff.

EdgeVisor is a prediction market analytics system — a research tool, not a trading bot. It analyzes event contracts on Polymarket using multiple analytical lenses to find markets where the current price may deserve a closer look. EdgeVisor does not place trades — it shows you where to look and why.
EdgeVisor compares market pricing with its own structured estimate, external reference points, and evidence context. When the disagreement looks meaningful and the support is coherent, the market can be surfaced for review.
Yes. EdgeVisor records outcomes, tracks calibration, and adapts its internal weighting over time so the system does not rely on a fixed mix forever.
EdgeVisor focuses on liquid Polymarket markets and uses related venue comparisons when useful. Coverage varies by category and by how much evidence and market context are available.
EdgeVisor tracks two primary metrics: (1) Brier Score = (predicted_probability − actual_outcome)². Lower is better: 0 = perfect, 0.25 = random coin flip. (2) Win Rate = percentage of picks where the recommended direction (YES/NO) was correct. Every prediction is logged with market price, our estimate, and confidence at prediction time. After resolution, the outcome updates both metrics per category, so you can see where EdgeVisor is calibrated vs. not.
No. EdgeVisor is a research tool. It identifies markets where the AI estimates the price may be wrong and provides a structured analysis (bull case, bear case, what kills the trade). The final decision is always yours. EdgeVisor does not place trades, does not manage funds, and is not a licensed financial advisor. Prediction market trading involves real financial risk.
Create a free account on the dashboard to sign in. When tier limits are on (admin settings), Free matches the pricing table; Pro unlocks the full pick list and track record. Pro checkout may stay waitlisted — we can upgrade accounts manually. Operators with the dashboard API key keep full access; tier enforcement can be turned off during rollout.